Monday, March 6, 2017

Tat Seng Pkg(T12)

Draft: 3/6/2017 (Price: $0.52, market value: $81m)
Data source: IPO Prospectus, 2005 company announcement, 2016 unaudited FR,

Business: manufacture and sale of corrugated cardboards.
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History
Then
2001, production capacity SG: 14,868 tonnes, CN: 20,895.
Controlled by Mr Low See Pong(45%) and Loh See Moon(15%)
IPO: 0.21/share, 39,300,000 shares(new), 157,200,000(total)
NAV: 24.5cents
EPS: 3.63cents
Inventory turnover: 115d, 107, 87 for FY1999, 2000,2001.

A family business started in 1960+, directors & key executives are all relatives.
300+ employees
$'000 1999 2000 2001
Turnover          20,610          27,776          33,505
PBT            3,329            3,789            5,097
16% 14% 15%
SG 79.70% 59.80% 52%
PRC 20.30% 40.20% 48%

Later
Acquired by PSC, Mr. Allan Yap in 2005.
79,820,000 ordinary shares of total S$16,961,750 (based on S$0.2125/share) and  is  arrived  at  on  a  willing  buyer  and  willing  seller  basis, at 7.61% discount at prevailing $0.23 price on Oct 2005. ~50.78% of the entire share capital.

Now
million 2006-12 2007-12 2008-12 2009-12 2010-12 2011-12 2012-12 2013-12 2014-12 2015-12 2016-12
Revenue 55 75 96 113 153 167 180 216 225 231 228
GP% 20.0% 17.2% 16.6% 21.8% 17.5% 15.4% 19.4% 20.3% 20.2% 21.1% 22.6%
OP 3 6 4 10 9 7 11 17 16 19 17
OP% 4.9% 8.2% 4.6% 9.0% 6.0% 4.2% 6.1% 8.1% 7.1% 8.2% 7.5%
NP 2 6 3 7 6 4 8 12 9 12 14
Operating CF 5 2 -4 5 10 2 9 11 11 33 24
CAPEX -1 -5 -2 -2 -7 -5 -10 -11 -9 -7 -9
FCF 4 -3 -6 4 3 -3 -1 2 26 15
EPS/share($) 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.09
NAV/share($) 0.3 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.46 0.51 0.6 0.66

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Risks
Barrier to enter corrugated paper packaging is rather low.
Environmental pollution control: the production process causes storage and usage of hazardous substances.

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