Saturday, January 28, 2017

NeraTel (N01)

Draft: 1/25/2017 (Market Cap: S$134m)

Updated: 1/28/2017


Based on 2015AR, and Q3/2016 Report.

Nera is in the business for 37 years, biz covers 17 countries.

Current chair(wo)man: Ms. Wong Su-Yen.
ex-CEO: Mr. Samuel Ang Seong Kang(resigned in Oct 2016, with company since 1996)
(including employer's CPF)

Director Fees

acting CEO: Mr. Beck Tong Hong

Total issued shares: 362m.
(of my interest is Northstar, who has a alliance with TPG capital)


Size of Shareholdings  No. of Shareholders  % No. of Shares  % 
1 – 99  5 0.1 35 0
100 – 1,000  184 3.83 173,951 0.05
1,001 – 10,000  2,617 54.43 16,232,716 4.49
10,001 – 1,000,000  1,982 41.22 101,866,959 28.15
1,000,001 AND ABOVE  20 0.42 243,623,339 67.31
TOTAL  4,808 100 361,897,000 100

Consists of:
Telecom biz segment(Wireless/WIN), Infocomm biz segment(NW infrastructure, Payment solutions)
Pdt: Evo series microwave radio
end-to-end electronic payment solutions




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Price History


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Business Review

NW infrastructure biz suffered a loss due to lower margin equipment sales and exchange loss in Nigeria project(1.2mSGD).
Sold POS business, and announced an interim dividend of $0.15/share.

Income stabilized, margin dropped in 2016 Q3.
Issue with Current Assets ($'000) in 2015:
Stocks  7,601
Contract work-in-progress  27,183
Trade receivables  72,578

Revenue: 181,513 (Telecom: 57,792/Infocom: 123,721)
Wages: 22,538

By segment:
Telecom % Infocom % 
Turnover  57,792 32% 123,721 68%
Cost of sales  -33,037 57% -88,958 72%
Gross profit  24,755 43% 34,763 28%
Distribution and selling expenses  -11,430 20% -18,740 15%
Administrative expenses  -4,000 7% -7,799 6%
Profit from operating activities  9,410 16% 8,098 7%
Segment assets  46,176 38% 76,309 62%
Segment liabilities  28,277 49% 28,940 51%
Capital expenditure  940 2% 3,895 3%
Depreciation and amortisation  788 1% 5,650 5%

By country:
Revenues  2015 2014
Singapore  53,956 55,810
Malaysia  36,378 32,241
Thailand  28,195 20,663
Indonesia  17,317 13,312
Philippines  13,261 21,964
Burkina Faso  8,711  
Pakistan  5,675 5,589
Morocco  5,035 14,814
Afghanistan  4,456 8,352
Other Asian countries  4,415 6,170
Other Middle East countries  2,765 2,337
Others  1,349 1,147

181,513  182,399

By sectors:

Customer Profile(by Sectors) $’000 %
Telecommunications  51,720 71%
Financial institutions  7,033 10%
Government agencies  7,195 10%
Multi industry
conglomerates 
2,556 4%
Media and broadcasting  1,630 2%
Others  2,444 3%
72,578 100%
One major customer income $20m(is that Singtel/Optus group)?
35% TR from 3 telecom providers.

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What analysts say
target price before special dividend.

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My assessment
NeraTel faces fierce competition in Telecom, Infocom infrastructure business, its growing story is lacking, leading to rather price book comparison.
Estimated valuation: S$140m.
鸡年的鸡肋。

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Questions remained:
1. What is the reason company incurred Nigeria project FX loss of 1.2mSGD when it claims using forward currency contract hedging the exposure for any contract >100k. (Pg 105)
(Approximately 19% (2014: 34%) of the Group’s sales and 66% (2014: 73%) of the Group’s purchases are denominated in foreign currencies)

2.Gearing ratio(Pg 115)
My usual understanding of Gearing ratio, or at least what I understood in China, is debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity). I do not understand why on Pg 115 of AR, it is defined as net debt divided by total capital plus net debt. And net debt is counted as loans and borrowings and obligations under finance leases, less cash and cash equivalents. So it is gearing ratio is NIL(since no Net Debt by its definition), but how about its long term debt/liabilities, when the denominator is equity(both short & long term), how can numerator just counts short term ones?
 
$’000
Cash and cash equivalents (Note 27)  20,770
Deposits pledged (Note 27)  250
Less: Borrowings (Note 15)  -16,311
Net cash and cash equivalents  4,709
Capital:
Equity attributable to equity holders of the Company  56,026
Capital and net debt  56,026
Gearing ratio   

 

1 comment:

  1. Today Nera jumped 3.5c to 41.5c (+9.21%) in a single day, bring market cap to 137.5m.

    ReplyDelete